CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-08-03T08:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-08-03T08:38ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47936/-1
CME Note: CME observed to the NE in only STEREO A COR2, likely pylon obscured in GOES CCOR-1 and unavailable in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 real-time due to a downlink gap. The likely source is AR 14498, observed in SDO AIA 304 first as a filament jostling with surface brightening starting around 2026-08-03T07:10Z, followed by a wider swath of faint dimming and brightening starting around 2026-08-03T08:16Z in SDO AIA 171/193, all centered ~N22W12.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-08-07T05:30Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 82.93 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-08-03T18:34Z
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